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  1. Abstract

    Environmental disturbances may prevent ecosystems from consistently performing their critical ecological functions. Two important properties of ecosystems are their resistance and stability, which respectively reflect their capacities to withstand and recover from disturbance events (e.g. droughts, wildfires, pests, etc). Theory suggests that resistant and stable ecosystems possess opposing characteristics, but this has seldom been established across diverse ecosystem attributes or broad spatial scales. Here, we compare the resistance and stability of >1000 protected area ecosystems in Africa to disturbance-induced losses in primary productivity from 2000 to 2019. We quantitatively evaluated each ecosystem such that following disturbances, an ecosystem is more resistant if it experiences lower-magnitude losses in productivity, and more stable if it returns more rapidly to pre-disturbance productivity levels. To compare the characteristics of resistant versus stable ecosystems, we optimized random forest models that use ecosystem attributes (representing their climatic and environmental conditions, plant and faunal biodiversity, and exposure to human impacts) to predict their resistance and, separately, stability values. We visualized each attribute’s relationship with resistance and stability after accounting for all other attributes in the model framework. Ecosystems that are more resistant to disturbances are less stable, and vice versa. The ecosystem attributes with the most predictive power in our models all exhibit contrasting relationships with resistance versus stability. Notably, highly resistant ecosystems are generally more arid and exhibit high habitat heterogeneity and mammalian biodiversity, while highly stable ecosystems are the opposite. We discuss the underlying mechanisms through which these attributes engender resistance or, conversely, stability. Our findings suggest that resistance and stability are fundamentally opposing phenomena. A balance between the two must be struck if ecosystems are to maintain their identity, structure, and function in the face of environmental change.

     
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  2. Abstract

    Mammalian megafauna have been critical to the functioning of Earth’s biosphere for millions of years. However, since the Plio-Pleistocene, their biodiversity has declined concurrently with dramatic environmental change and hominin evolution. While these biodiversity declines are well-documented, their implications for the ecological function of megafaunal communities remain uncertain. Here, we adapt ecometric methods to evaluate whether the functional link between communities of herbivorous, eastern African megafauna and their environments (i.e., functional trait-environment relationships) was disrupted as biodiversity losses occurred over the past 7.4 Ma. Herbivore taxonomic and functional diversity began to decline during the Pliocene as open grassland habitats emerged, persisted, and expanded. In the mid-Pleistocene, grassland expansion intensified, and climates became more variable and arid. It was then that phylogenetic diversity declined, and the trait-environment relationships of herbivore communities shifted significantly. Our results divulge the varying implications of different losses in megafaunal biodiversity. Only the losses that occurred since the mid-Pleistocene were coincident with a disturbance to community ecological function. Prior diversity losses, conversely, occurred as the megafaunal species and trait pool narrowed towards those adapted to grassland environments.

     
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  3. Abstract Aim

    This study examines how climate shapedMicrotus californicus(Rodentia: Arvicolinae) ecomorphology throughout the Quaternary. It tests three hypotheses: (a) climate corresponds with consistent shape variation inM. californicusdentition; (b) Quaternary warming and drying trends causedM. californicusmorphotypes to predictably shift in range through time and (c) Quaternary warming and drying led to predictable changes in tooth morphological variation. Finally, we discuss how shifts in climate‐linked morphological variation may affect the potential ofM. californicusto react to future climate change.

    Location

    Western United States.

    Taxon

    Microtus californicus(Peale, 1848).

    Methods

    Geometric morphometrics and partial least squares analyses were used to discern how climate contributes to consistent variation in the shapes of theM. californicuslower first molar (m1), validated for the full toothrow. We further corroborate this relationship, reconstructing precipitation at fossil localities using m1 morphology and comparing those values to palaeoclimate‐model‐derived precipitations. Disparity analyses and a MANOVA were performed to examine changes in variation and whether a shift in tooth shape occurred through time.

    Results

    Microtus californicusm1 and toothrow shapes are narrower and more curved in cooler, wetter climates. Morphology‐based palaeoclimate reconstructions align with model‐based palaeoclimate estimations. When time averaging is accounted for,M. californicusdemonstrates a 12% reduction in variation from fossil to present‐day specimens, and these changes in tooth shape correspond with climate‐related morphotypes.

    Main conclusions

    As California became drier and hotter since the late Pleistocene,M. californicusdental morphology generally tracked these changes by adapting to the consumption of rougher vegetation in drier environments. This resulted in the loss of some high‐precipitation morphotypes, indicating that ecomorphology, often observed at the species and community levels, translates to intraspecific variation and dynamically changes in response to changing climates. The loss of climate‐linked morphological variation since the late Pleistocene may limit the ability ofM. californicusto respond to future changes in climate. These findings portend that other species may have experienced similar losses in adaptability.

     
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  4. Abstract

    Resilient landscapes have helped maintain terrestrial biodiversity during periods of climatic and environmental change. Identifying the tempo and mode of landscape transitions and the drivers of landscape resilience is critical to maintaining natural systems and preserving biodiversity given today's rapid climate and land use changes. However, resilient landscapes are difficult to recognize on short time scales, as perturbations are challenging to quantify and ecosystem transitions are rare. Here we analyze two components of North American landscape resilience over 20,000 years: residence time and recovery time. To evaluate landscape dynamics, we use plant biomes, preserved in the fossil pollen record, to examine how long a biome type persists at a given site (residence time) and how long it takes for the biome at that site to reestablish following a transition (recovery time). Biomes have a median residence time of only 230–460 years. Only 64% of biomes recover their original biome type, but recovery time is 140–290 years. Temperatures changing faster than 0.5°C per 500 years result in much reduced residence times. Following a transition, biodiverse biomes reestablish more quickly. Landscape resilience varies through time. Notably, short residence times and long recovery times directly preceded the end‐Pleistocene megafauna extinction, resulting in regional destabilization, and combining with more proximal human impacts to deliver a one‐two punch to megafauna species. Our work indicates that landscapes today are once again exhibiting low resilience, foreboding potential extinctions to come. Conservation strategies focused on improving both landscape and ecosystem resilience by increasing local connectivity and targeting regions with high richness and diverse landforms can mitigate these extinction risks.

     
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